to follow up my last entry, the previous addition is definitely an improvement... Now, it remains to be seen if it is going to make a difference on the bottomline or not...
Markets are still sleeping or in lethargy...
I have got few negative thoughts in the last day or 2...
The most likely explanation for my failures is very bad timing...
right now, if there is a financial crisis just around the next corner, it is quite possible that this is explaining why market are drying up some time before the crisis hit...
A little bit like the water is pulling back just before a tsunami hit land....
I am having a hard time to rationalize that the 4-5 times that I have came up with a very profitable trading system, it did only work for about 3 weeks before stopping to work...
It happens once, ok... shit happens... twice, you are very unlucky....
when you reach a succession of 4,5 times in a row... well, it is not impossible but as the successive failures pile up, this become a more and more improbable event...
I have imagined some imaginary scenarios... What if, the market feed was in fact only a simulation controlled by AI... Some sort of video game where the difficulty level increase automatically and adapt to what you are doing... This is a crazy idea... but how can you validate that it is not the case? is my bot observed by a competitor? How? beside from an insider from the exchange... I do not see how this could happen... but I know that some exchanges have a trading desk... Is there really an opaque wall between the trading desk and the exchange activity?
this is theoretically not impossible but highly improbable... I had the thought... and now I want to shake it out of my mind...
that being said, I have created a new trend following system... this has given me the opportunity to improve my framework so that it is easy to swap 1 system with another one...
As I have more and more indicators coded in my toolbox and that the framework is getting better to introduce new systems, I expect that the time it takes to go from 1 idea to a prototype will become very short allowing me to test more ideas in a shorter period of time... This is certainly a good thing to reach success.
Markets are still sleeping or in lethargy...
I have got few negative thoughts in the last day or 2...
The most likely explanation for my failures is very bad timing...
right now, if there is a financial crisis just around the next corner, it is quite possible that this is explaining why market are drying up some time before the crisis hit...
A little bit like the water is pulling back just before a tsunami hit land....
I am having a hard time to rationalize that the 4-5 times that I have came up with a very profitable trading system, it did only work for about 3 weeks before stopping to work...
It happens once, ok... shit happens... twice, you are very unlucky....
when you reach a succession of 4,5 times in a row... well, it is not impossible but as the successive failures pile up, this become a more and more improbable event...
I have imagined some imaginary scenarios... What if, the market feed was in fact only a simulation controlled by AI... Some sort of video game where the difficulty level increase automatically and adapt to what you are doing... This is a crazy idea... but how can you validate that it is not the case? is my bot observed by a competitor? How? beside from an insider from the exchange... I do not see how this could happen... but I know that some exchanges have a trading desk... Is there really an opaque wall between the trading desk and the exchange activity?
this is theoretically not impossible but highly improbable... I had the thought... and now I want to shake it out of my mind...
that being said, I have created a new trend following system... this has given me the opportunity to improve my framework so that it is easy to swap 1 system with another one...
As I have more and more indicators coded in my toolbox and that the framework is getting better to introduce new systems, I expect that the time it takes to go from 1 idea to a prototype will become very short allowing me to test more ideas in a shorter period of time... This is certainly a good thing to reach success.
